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By Frank Burchill (auth.)

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10 ..... ---- , , , 5 1898 1908 1918 1928 1938 1948 Source: Employment Gazette, July 1991. 1958 1968 1978 1988 50 Labour Relations why the past should repeat itself; equally there is no obvious reason why it should be assumed that trade unions are fundamentally in decline. The longer-term cycle of trade union membership growth and decline does seem to link to the longer-term business cycle. Similar relationships have been identified in shorter-term cycles (Bain and Elsheikh, 1976). Unemployment seems to be a major factor - as unemployment grows, union membership declines.

Quantity adjustments can be secured by incorporating the secondary labour market. Employers may subcontract part of their 20 Labour Relations work. Subcontracted labour and part-time labour constitute a large part of the secondary labour market, and such employment relationships can be expanded or reduced to meet product demand variations. Similarly, the primary labour force might be recruited to below known optimum levels and used to work overtime. Labour in the secondary labour market is often nonunionised, low-paid, and without holiday or pension entitlements.

_ ... _ ......... I I' Notes: Vertical dotted lines indicate beginning of new series. Not seasonally adjusted. Source: Labour Market Trrmds, January 1996. -- ---~~--- -------- ------------ -- ............ -- -- ~--~ . 8 Employment Gazette, various; Lab/mr MaruI Trends, various. 1 Source: Lalmur Marut Trends, July 1996. 3 shows changes by occupational group. 5, below. Unemployment From 1941 to 1961 unemployment averaged well below 2 per cent of the labour force. 4 ). These are UK measurements.

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