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The Peninsula Question: A Chronicle of the Second Korean Nuclear Crisis. : Brookings Institution Press, 2007. Green and Bates Gil, 1-29. New York: Columbia University Press, 2009. Gill, Bates, Michael Green, Kiyoto Tsuji, William Watts. Strategic Views on Asian Regionalism Report Release. Washington DC: CSIS, February 2009. Goldstein, Avery. Rising to the Challenge China's Grand Strategy and International Security. : Stanford University Press, 2005. , and Bates Gill. Asia's New Multilateralism : Cooperation, Competition, and the Search for Community.

122. THE EVOLUTION OF THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN RUSSIA AND THE KOREAN PENINSULA 45 有忘记苏联提供的各方面帮助,但是当中苏关系恶化时,朝鲜明确表示,中国 才是他们的头号盟友,而苏联则被排在第二位。为了争夺朝鲜,苏联加大了对 ① 朝鲜的拉拢力度,到 60 年代中期,朝鲜由明显倾向中国转为倾向苏联。 1965 年 2 月,苏联部长会议主席柯西金访朝,重申《苏朝友好合作互助条约》的重 要性。1966 年 6 月 20 日,苏朝两国政府在莫斯科签署了《经济技术合作协议》 与《1966-1970 年间相互供货协议》。前一个协议无条件地将朝鲜自 1949 年起 拖欠苏联的长期贷款延长到 1971 年后支付,并为朝鲜扩大冶金企业的产能,建 设新的热电站、石化厂等项目提供资金和技术上的帮助;后一个协议则大幅扩 ② 大了两国间相互供货的数量和范围。 这些举措使苏朝关系的发展出现了一波 新的高潮,但是很快两国就因朝鲜半岛局势问题发生分歧。朝鲜不断挑起朝鲜 半岛的紧张气氛,南北武装冲突的数量从 1966 年的 50 起增加到 1967 年的 829 起。1968 年 1 月,朝鲜政府在其领海扣留了美国“普埃布拉”号间谍船,并在 对美谈判中表现出不惜一战的强硬姿态,这使苏美关系也几乎走到了爆发冲突 的边缘。尽管该次事件最后以美国做出让步而告终,但是通过这一事件,苏联 认为不能再放任朝鲜的冒险做法。苏方要求与朝鲜就《苏朝友好合作互助条约》 的条款进行谈判,对其中关键性的条款做出了新的解释,将签约一方遭受武力 入侵之外的情况明确排除在联盟一方的义务之外。苏联还具体地说明了几种可 ③ 能的军事冲突,在这些情况下,苏联将不会介入。 1969 年 4 月 15 日,朝鲜击 落一架美国间谍飞机,苏联未给予朝鲜支持,还帮助美方寻找飞行员,朝鲜于 是再次站在了中国这一边。苏联与朝鲜的经济合作关系也在这一年达到峰值后 逐年下滑。 70 年代的国际环境促使朝鲜选择一条独立自主的发展道路,来自苏联和中 国的援助在逐步减少,而冷战的形势也在不断缓和。韩国是越战的亲身参与者, 战争的结局使美国不得不撤出越南,韩国从越南战争的结局中意识到,如果朝 鲜半岛再次发生南北战争的话,那么美国很可能采取放弃的政策,因此韩国不 能将安全和统一的希望完全寄托于美国的帮助,而必须探索一条独立的道路。 1973 年 6 月 23 日,韩国总统朴正熙发表了《有关和平统一外交政策的特别声 明》,标志着韩国新“北方政策”的开启,该政策的实质是寻求与社会主义国 ① ② ③ 杨军、王秋彬:《中国与朝鲜半岛关系史论》,社科文献出版社,2006年,第240页。 Отношения Советского Союза с народной Кореей(1945-1980),документы и материалы.

Cossa, Ralph. " 1-10. New York: Council on Foreign Relations, 2009. Crone, Donald. "Does Hegemony Matter? " World Politics 45, no. 4 (1993): 501-25. Friedberg, Aaron. " International Security 18, no. 3 (1993/94): 3-33. Fukuyama, Francis. " Foreign Affairs 84, no. 1 (2005): 75-87. Funabashi, Yoichi. The Peninsula Question: A Chronicle of the Second Korean Nuclear Crisis. : Brookings Institution Press, 2007. Green and Bates Gil, 1-29. New York: Columbia University Press, 2009. Gill, Bates, Michael Green, Kiyoto Tsuji, William Watts.

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